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Electoral College Ratings Update

2024 Presidential Election Forecast: Trump Edges Out Biden in Latest Poll

Electoral College Ratings Update

According to the latest electoral college ratings released by Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, former President Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over President Joe Biden in the race for the 2024 presidency.

Key Points

The model currently predicts that Trump has a 56% chance of winning. The Economist is also tracking the contest and agrees with the assessment that Trump is the current frontrunner.

To win the 2024 presidential election, a candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes. An interactive map on the Economist's website allows users to create their own 2024 election forecast by clicking on states.


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